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Takaichi and LDP Surge in Polls Before Pivotal February 8 Vote

By James
Takaichi and LDP Surge in Polls Before Pivotal February 8 Vote

Takaichi and LDP Surge in Polls Before Pivotal February 8 Vote

Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi has secured a widening lead over opposition forces just days before Japan's general election, the latest data suggests her gamble to call a snap vote may pay off. Voter support for the ruling party jumped significantly in the final week, this creates strong momentum heading into the February 8 contest.

Political Upheaval Since 2024 Shapes Current Election Landscape

Japan has navigated a turbulent political environment over the last two years, the ruling establishment faced historic setbacks starting with the loss of its lower house majority in October 2024. A damaging slush fund scandal involving illicit financial practices within party factions severely eroded public trust, this turmoil eventually forced a change in leadership and paved the way for Takaichi to become the country's first female prime minister in late 2025. The political map was redrawn further when Komeito ended its 26-year alliance with the conservatives last October, they subsequently merged with the main opposition to form a new centrist bloc aimed at challenging the long-dominant administration.

Poll Shows LDP Support Jumping Nearly 7 Points in Final Stretch

A fresh survey released on Sunday reveals a sharp increase in approval for the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), the group secured 36.1% support in the proportional representation category which represents a major 6.9 percentage point rise from the previous week. Support for single-constituency candidates backed by the ruling camp now stands at **44%**, this surge suggests that the electorate is gravitating back toward stability despite recent scandals. The newly formed Centrist Reform Alliance is currently trailing significantly with only 13.9% support in the proportional race, this indicates the opposition merger has yet to convince a broad swath of the public.

A significant portion of the electorate remains uncommitted heading into the final days of the campaign, approximately **27%** of voters are undecided regarding their constituency choice. Prime Minister Takaichi has stated she will resign if the ruling bloc fails to secure a majority, this high-stakes pledge underscores the critical nature of this specific election. The cabinet's approval rating has also ticked upward to 63.6%, this personal popularity appears to be aiding party candidates across the nation.

Takaichi Poised to Solidify Power and Enact Security Agenda

Securing a decisive victory would grant the Prime Minister the necessary political capital to advance her specific policy goals, these include robust national security measures and aggressive economic strategies to combat inflation. A clear majority for the coalition would stabilize the legislature after months of uncertainty, this effectively ends the gridlock that has plagued the Diet since the previous election. The opposition faces a difficult path forward, a poor showing for the Centrist Reform Alliance could trigger another round of fragmentation among those seeking to check the ruling party's power.

Voters head to the polls on February 8 to determine the composition of the 465-seat House of Representatives, the outcome will define the trajectory of Japanese governance for the remainder of the decade.

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